Weekly Economic Update 2/6/2017

POSITIVES & NEGATIVES IN JANUARY’s JOB DATA

The Department of Labor’s latest jobs report showed 227,000 net new hires last month. Unfortunately, wages grew just 0.1% in January as the headline jobless rate rose slightly to 4.8%. The U-6 rate, counting the underemployed, rose 0.2% to 9.4%.1     

 

STRONG CONSUMER CONFIDENCE & SPENDING

While the Conference Board’s monthly consumer confidence index declined 1.5 points in January, it remained at a high level with a 111.8 reading. Personal spending improved 0.5% in December, with personal incomes up 0.3%.2   

 

ISM INDICES SHOW FURTHER SECTOR EXPANSION

The Institute for Supply Management’s purchasing manager indices were at high levels in January. ISM’s factory index gained 1.5 points to 56.0. Its service sector gauge ticked down 0.1 points to 56.5, but that still signaled solid growth.3

 

DODD-FRANK ACT FACES A REVIEW

Through an executive order issued Friday, President Donald Trump authorized a review of this law aimed at regulating activities of big banks. According to the New York Times, the directive also calls for major sections of Dodd-Frank to be revised.4

      

MINOR PROGRESS FOR THE S&P 500

The Federal Reserve stood pat on interest rates, bank shares rose on the Dodd-Frank news, and January hiring totals exceeded forecasts. These developments helped stocks make small weekly gains. In five days, the S&P 500 rose 0.12% to 2,297.42, and the Nasdaq 0.11%, to 5,666.77. The Dow lost 0.11% to settle at 20,071.46 Friday.5

  

THIS WEEK: CNA Financial, Hasbro, Loews Corp., Sysco, Tesoro, 21st Century Fox, and Tyson Foods announce earnings Monday. Tuesday’s earnings roll call features results from Akamai, Aramark, Archer Daniels Midland, Buffalo Wild Wings, Container Store, General Motors, Genworth Financial, Gilead Sciences, Lennox, Michael Kors, Mosaic, NETGEAR, O’Reilly, Panera Bread, Penske, Spirit Airlines, Take-Two Interactive, Vulcan Materials, and Walt Disney Co. Wednesday, earnings emerge from Alaska Air, Allergan, Exelon, GlaxoSmithKline, Goodyear, Humana, Prudential Financial, Time Warner, W.R. Grace, and Whole Foods. New initial claims numbers arrive Thursday, plus earnings from Activision Blizzard, Advance Auto Parts, Beazer, Coca-Cola, Cummins, CVS Health, Dunkin’ Brands, Expedia, Gannett, Kellogg, Kemper, NCR, Nvidia, Occidental Petroleum, Pandora, Skechers, Twitter, Viacom, Western Union, Yelp, Yum! Brands, and Zynga. Friday, the University of Michigan’s latest household sentiment index appears, plus Q4 results from CBRE Group.

  

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA +1.56 +22.86 +11.21 +5.86
NASDAQ +5.27 +25.81 +19.01 +12.89
S&P 500 +2.62 +20.12 +14.16 +5.86
REAL YIELD 2/3 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 0.44% 0.50% -0.21% 2.42%

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov – 2/3/175,6,7,8

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

 

WEEKLY QUOTE              

“Achievement is largely the product of steadily raising one’s levels of aspiration and expectation.”    

– Jack Nicklaus          

WEEKLY TIP             

Be sure to study your potential Medicare choices in the years before you turn 65. Evaluate whether you should go with original Medicare (and Part D coverage) or a Part C plan.       

WEEKLY RIDDLE            

It doesn’t have eyes, but once it held two. It once held thoughts, but is now empty. What could it be?   

Last week’s riddle:

Double S, double P, it has four Is and not one C. What oft-seen 11-letter word is this?     

Last week’s answer:

Mississippi.

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Weekly Economic Update 2-6-2017

Securities and Advisory Services offered through Triad Advisors Member FINRA/SIPC.

This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.

Citations.

1 – investopedia.com/news/strong-january-jobs-report-wage-growth-still-soft/ [2/3/17]

2 – investing.com/economic-calendar/ [2/3/17]

3 – instituteforsupplymanagement.org/ismreport/nonmfgrob.cfm [2/3/17]

4 – nytimes.com/2017/02/03/business/dealbook/trump-congress-financial-regulations.html [2/3/17]

5 – markets.wsj.com/us [2/3/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F3%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F3%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F3%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F3%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F3%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F3%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F2%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F2%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F2%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17]

7 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [2/3/17]

8 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [2/3/17]

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